BULLION:-
Gold (futures on Comex) found buyers in Asia once again near the 1227 level, now heading back towards the two-week tops of 1229.70 reached a day before. The yellow metal remains on the front foot so far this Friday, as the US dollar extends its softness across the board into a third straight session, as markets remain wary over the Fed’s rate hike outlook amid mounting concerns about a potential global slowdown. The US dollar index trades weaker near 96.50 level, looking to test Thursday’s low at 96.32. Moreover, gold prices derive support from the mixed tone seen on the Asian equities, as the Chinese stocks get sold-off into looming US-China trade concerns and Chinese growth concerns. However, it remains to be seen if the bullion can sustain the upbeat momentum, as positive Treasury yields combined with sowing volumes could limit further upside.
METALS:-
Rising longs buoyed prices of LME copper and the SHFE contracts on a softened US dollar. LME copper rose above the five-day moving average and closed at the highest overnight at $6,267/mt. The SHFE 1901 contract ended three consecutive trading days of decline as it closed at 49,660 yuan/mt after rising to a high of 49,680 yuan/mt. We expect it to trade at 49,400-49,800 yuan/mt today with LME copper trading at $6,220-6,270/mt. Tight supplies in domestic market will keep spot premiums at 50-120 yuan/mt. Macro pessimism continued to lower LME nickel and the SHFE 1901 contract overnight, by 0.63% and 1.14%, respectively. Weak fundamentals failed to provide the contract effective support at the 90,000 yuan/mt level. We expect LME nickel to hover weakly around $10,900/mt, with the 1901 contract trading at 89,500-91,000 yuan/mt today. Spot prices are seen at 90,000-101,500 yuan/mt today.
ENERGY:-
Oil prices renewed their fall on Friday, pressured by concerns that producers are churning out more oil than the world needs amid a bleak economic outlook. The divergence between U.S. and international crude comes as surging North American supply is clogging the system and depressing prices there, while global markets are somewhat tighter - in part because of reduced exports from Iran due to newly imposed U.S. sanctions. However, global oil supply has surged this year, with the top-three producers of the United States, Russia and Saudi Arabia pumping out more than a third of global consumption, which stands around 100 million barrels per day (bpd). High production comes as the demand outlook weakens on the back of a global economic slowdown. prices have plunged by around 30 percent since their last peaks in early October, as global production started to exceed consumption in the fourth quarter of this year, ending a period of undersupply that started in the first quarter of 2017, according to data in Refinitiv Eikon.
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