Cotton futures (Feb) is likely to plunge further towards 20100-20000 levels.

CAPITALSTARS INVESTMENT ADVISER

 Cottonprices moved lower in Punjab, Haryana and upper Rajasthan, tracking weakness in US natural fiber. Sharp decline in domestic futures along with higher output estimate in China also weighed on spot prices. Worries about a looming March 1 deadline for a US-China trade agreement also dragged prices lower. Meanwhile, negotiators from the United States and China, the world's top soybean buyer, are trying to hammer out a trade deal before a March 1 deadline, when US tariffs on USD 200 billion worth of Chinese imports are scheduled to increase to 25 percent from 10 percent. Guar seed futures (Mar) may face resistance near 4300 levels, while guar gum futures (Mar) is expected to remain below 8520 levels. The weekon-week declining ratio of guar seed to guar gum is depicting the fact that demand for these commodities are decreasing. Chana futures (Mar) is expected to take support near 4175 levels. The counter is trading higher at major markets in the country following firm cues from fresh physical trade activity at lower rates. Flour millers are actively purchasing chana due to cheaper prices and easy availability compared to White Pea. Moreover, the Cold waves and untimely rains may further damage the standing crop. Mentha oil (Feb) is likely to witness further rally & test 1650-1665 levels. Overall, sentiments are bullish as delayed sowing in the state is likely to affect the crop yield. As per reports, farmers are now worried as untimely rains and inclement weather conditions have delayed the sowing in key producing belts. The production is likely to be badly affected if weather conditions don't improve in the next few days. 

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CS GOLD (OCT) OVERVIEW: TREND : SIDEWAYS RESIST 
2: 29810 RESIST
1: 29730 SUP
1: 29590 SUP
2: 29480
CS SILVER (SEP) OVERVIEW: TREND : SIDEWAYS RESIST
 2: 38370 RESIST
1: 38200 SUP
1: 37940 SUP
2: 37800

Base Metals

CS COPPER (AUG) OVERVIEW: TREND : SIDEWAYS RESIST
 2: 430.00 RESIST
 1: 426.00 SUP
1: 418.00 SUP
2: 415.00
 CS NICKEL (AUG) OVERVIEW: TREND : BULLISH RESIST
2: 976.00 RESIST
 1: 964.00 SUP
 1: 945.00 SUP
 2: 938.00
 CS ZINC (AUG) OVERVIEW: TREND : BEARISH RESIST
 2: 186.00 RESIST
 1: 184.00 SUP
 1: 179.00 SUP
 2: 177.00
 CS LEAD (AUG) OVERVIEW: TREND : SIDEWAYS RESIST 
2: 150.00 RESIST
 1: 147.50 SUP
 1: 143.50 SUP
2: 141.50
 CS ALUMINIUM (AUG) OVERVIEW: TREND : BULLISH RESIST
 2: 148.50 RESIST
 1: 146.50 SUP
1: 140.50 SUP
2: 138.50
 Energies 
CS CRUDE OIL (AUG) OVERVIEW: TREND : BEARISH RESIST
 2: 4670 RESIST
1: 4640 SUP
 1: 4570 SUP
 2: 4530

MCX CRUDE AUG on Thursday as seen in the Daily chart opened at 4585 levels and made day low of 4566 levels. During this period crude came up to 4635 levels and finally closed at 4602 levels. Now, there are chances of down movement technically & fundamentally.

•  Oil prices on Friday edged up on worries that reimposed U.S. sanctions against Iran would tighten supplies, although the escalating trade dispute between Washington and Beijing held markets back from further gains.
•  On a weekly basis, Brent is set for a 1.5 to 2 percent fall, while WTI is heading for a drop of around 2.5 percent.

DAILY RECOMMENDATION: SELL MCX CRUDE OIL AUG BELOW 4600 LEVELS FOR TARGET OF 4560/4520 WITH SL 4675 OF LEVELS

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By the end of July every year, millions of children get out of a new job letter from the campus campus. If you get good money at the beginning of the job, then there is no worry for the future. But money is needed in the future. In such a situation, if you save 1200 rupees per month before the start of the job, the fund of one lakh rupees can be easily prepared in two to five years. This savings can be done in post office, from bank to mutual funds.

Make a bank-post office or mutual fund investment plan
There are three options to fund one lakh rupees. In these options, a fund of Rs 1 lakh can be prepared from 2 to 5 years. Where the investment in the post office will start from Rs. 1400 rupees, the investment in the bank will start from Rs. 1900 and a fund of Rs. 1 lakh will be ready. But if someone wants to have a fund of Rs 1 lakh in his investment less than that, then he has to invest in mutual funds. Here the fund will be set up with an investment of Rs. 1200 / month.

RD is not less than 5 years in the post office
The post office only has RD for 5 years. So here we have to invest for at least 5 years. At present, the post office on the 5-year RD is paying an interest of 6.9 percent. If someone wants to set up a fund of Rs. 1 lakh here, then make plans in this manner.


Post Office Investment Plan

• Start from month -1400 Rupees every month
• 
  
• -5 years to run this investment
• 
  
• -The interest rate is 6.9 percent
• 
  
• Fund will be prepared for Rs.1 lakh

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Gold Prices Slips Amid Rising U.S. Treasury Yields, Stronger Dollar -   Gold prices slipped on Friday in Asia amid rising U.S. treasury yields and a stronger dollar. Meanwhile, the dollar hovered near five-month highs well above the 93 level, after climbing to this year’s fresh high at 93.46 overnight. The US Dollar Index that tracks the greenback against a basket of six major currencies last stood at 93.38. The rising United States 10-Year Treasury yield  was cited as tailwind for the dollar. The yield further rose to 3.122%, up 0.43% on Friday morning - the highest level since 2011. Higher yields triggered a spike in demand for the greenback. Dollar-denominated assets such as gold are sensitive to moves in the dollar.

 Ten companies approved for copper scrap imports in 12th batch of approvals - Total approved copper scrap imports for this year rose to 482,400 mt, after the 12th batch of approvals for restricted solid scrap material imports was released on Tuesday May 15, SMM learned. Ten companies that imported scrap metals, waste plastics, and waste paper received approval. Approvals were granted by the solid waste management centre of China's Ministry of Ecology and Environment. SMM surveyed that supply pressures have not built up from the decline in the approved copper scrap imports, due to sluggish downstream demand. Orders dipped from the start of May across copper rod producers that used copper scrap as raw materials. Profits were lower for products produced from scrap while profits from copper rods produced from copper cathode grew.

Fair weather drives operating rates across zinc galvanisers in Apr - Operating rates across China's zinc galvanising plants in April gained 19.29 percentage points on the month and stood at 86.1%, SMM surveyed. This is up 19.16 percentage points on the year.  Most galvanising plants in north China cut production for environmental inspections in April 2017, and this accounted for the significant year on year increase in operating rates. During this closure, the plants undertook technological overhaul in acid polluting and wastewater treatment. They resumed regular operations in May 2017.

Oil Prices Firm As Brent Edges Close to $80 Per Barrel - Oil prices firmed on Friday morning in Asia, with Brent crude creeping ever closer to $80 per barrel, a level it has not seen since November 2014, as supplies tighten while demand remains strong.Geopolitical risks continue to prop up prices, and an unexpected fall in U.S. inventories pushed them up further. U.S. crude inventories fell by 1.4 million barrels in the week to May 11, and gasoline stocks fell by 3.79 million barrels. Meanwhile, looming U.S. sanctions against Iran, which currently produces 4% of global oil supplies, raised fears that oil markets will face shortages later this year when trade restrictions take effect. In Venezuela, production also plunged to 1.5 million barrels last month, its lowest level in decades due to its ongoing economic crisis. On the other hand, U.S. crude is increasingly appearing on global markets as a result of its surging production.

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Gold prices remained under pressure on surging U.S. bond yields and a stronger dollar -   Gold on MCX settled down -0.57% at 30997 tracking weakness from Comex Gold price while fell sharply earlier in the week yesterday also settled at $1,291.50/oz tumbling to a 5-month low amid speculation the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates in June. A stronger dollar also dented gold prices. Yesterday Gold prices recovered losses after falling to a session low of $1,285.70 as the dollar retreated from a five-month high, while the 10- year treasury yield met resistance after hitting a nearly seven-year high. The move off the lows in the yellow metal was also supported by renewed geopolitical uncertainty after President Donald Trump appeared less certain as to whether a planned summit with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un would still take place.

 Zinc prices settled flat with the uplift from encouraging Chinese home sales data capped by a stronger dollar - Zinc on MCX settled up 0.02% at 208.60 prices remained generally steady as weak indications such as China's mining and industrial production were announced the next day and wearing mood was drifting. While LME zinc gained 0.5 percent to $3,076.50 a tonne while sentiments remain weak on risk appetite was news that North Korea cancelled high-level talks with Seoul, denouncing military exercises between South Korea and the United States, breaking from several months of easing relations on the peninsula. Also the United States is seeking to make a  rade deal with China, White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow said as bilateral talks between the world's two economic powerhouses resume in Washington this week.

Oil Prices Rise On U.S. Stock Draws - Oil prices rose on Thursday morning in Asia after an inventory report showed U.S. crude and gasoline stocks fell more than expected.According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration’s weekly report, U.S. crude inventories fell by 1.4 million barrels in the week to May 11, compared with analyst expectations for a 763,000 barrel decrease. U.S. gasoline stocks fell 3.79 million barrels. Analysts had expected a 1.42 million barrel decline. Meanwhile, looming U.S. sanctions against Iran, which currently produces 4% of global oil supplies, raised fears that oil markets will face shortages later this year when trade restrictions take effect. In Venezuela, production also plunged to 1.5 million barrels last month, its lowest level in decades due to its ongoing economic crisis.

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Gold prices Recover After Sliding to New 2018 Low -   Gold prices recovered slightly after sliding to the lowest level in 2018 earlier in the day amid surging U.S. treasury yields and a stronger dollar. Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index that tracks the greenback against a basket of six major currencies last stood at 93.20, up 0.06%. The dollar hit 93.32 on Tuesday night in Asia, the highest level this year. As the relations on the Korean peninsula improved and a full-blown trade war between the U.S. and China became less likely, investors turned to U.S. 10-year Treasury yields for cues. On the other hand, the United States 10-Year treasury yield further rose to 3.089 on early Wednesday morning, the highest level in 7 years. A rise in yields widened interest rate gap between the U.S. and other developed economies, increasing the dollar’s appeal.

 Spot lead prices to extend uptick on robust downstream demand - Prices of spot lead in China are likely to extend gains in the longer term, driven by an expected uptick in lead consumption and as environmental limitations over secondary lead production continue, SMM believes. In May, traders became keen on purchases as the market gained. Traders began to stockpile at relatively low prices while some lead-acid battery plants ramped up production as orders grew. This hinted at an overall resilient demand downstream in May. Output of secondary lead is expected to sharply decline in May as authorities intensify environmental inspections in the secondary lead industry.

Oil Prices Ease On U.S. Crude Build - Oil prices retreated from multi-year highs on Wednesday morning in Asia, pulled back by an industry organization’s comment that U.S. crude stockpiles built unexpectedly last week.The American Petroleum Institute said crude stockpiles rose nearly 5 million barrels, compared with analysts’ expectations for a 763,000-barrel draw. Rising U.S. drilling for new oil production has also kept oil prices in check. U.S. drillers added 10 oil rigs in the week to May 11, bringing the total count to 844, the highest level since March 2015. Additionally, oil prices eased as the U.S. dollar strengthened against other currencies. As the dollar strengthens, investors can retreat from dollar-denominated commodities like oil. Oil prices have surged more than 70% over the last year as demand has risen sharply while production has been restricted by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), led by Saudi Arabia, and other producers, including Russia.

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INDIAN BENCHMARKS rose to record highs ; China and Europe whetted risk appetite globally,

INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS  rose to record highs on Monday after the prospect of further policy stimulus in China and Europe whetted risk appetite globally, while expectations of more reforms during the ongoing winter session of parliament also helped.

Astral Poly Technik rose 0.62% after the company acquired 76% stake in Resinova Chemie for Rs212.80 crore.

Power Grid Corporation of India lost 2.90% after the Reserve Bank of India placed restrictions on further purchases of shares of the company by foreign portfolio investors.

Crompton Greaves surged 4.37%, after Avantha Power & Infrastructure signed a Memorandum of Understanding with Adani Power for sale of power plant.

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at  8545 and above this 8610 . Support for the immediate term is now placed at 8495 and next support will be 8460.

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STOCK FUTURES:

FUTURES INTRADAY

TATA POWER FUTURES BUY CALL 2TG

ICICI BANK FUTURES BUY CALL 1 TG

DLF FUTURES BUY CALL 1TGT

ZEE LTD FUTURES BUY 1 TGT

SIEMENS LTD FUTURES BUY 1 TGT

INFOSYS FUTURES BUY 1 TGT

PREMIUM FUTURES

JSW ENERGY FUTURES BUY CALL 2TGT

NIFTY FUTURES:

BANK NIFTY FUTURES BUY CALL 1TGT

OPTION:

JSW ENERGY 85 CALL 3 TG

INFOSYS 4200 CALL 1TGT

BHEL 250 CALL EXIT AT 9.50

STOCK CASH:

STOCK CASH INTRADAY:

JINDAL STEEL BUY CALL 1TGT

ALLCARGO LOGISTIC BUY CALL SL TRIGRRED

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SBI to come up with roadmap for merger of subsidiaries

SBI Chief Mrs Arundhati Bhattacharya said that, the bank will come out with roadmap of merger of its associate banks in a month’s time. The merger of associate banks with result in further expansion in market share and hence will be positive for bank over medium to long term.

Sun Pharma-Ranbaxy: Court approves merger

Sun Pharma-Ranbaxy merger: Gujarat High Court approves merger; sentimentally positive. The Gujarat High Court has approved the proposed merger of Sun Pharma and Ranbaxy. However, a crucial clearance from competition commission of India (CCI) and competition commission in US remains pending.

ICICI Bank gains 2% on stock split plans

Shares of private banking leader ICICI Bank Ltd gain 2% to Rs1763 on NSE as the bank has fixed record date as December 05, 2014 for the purpose of ascertaining the eligible shareholders who would be entitled to receive 5 (Five) equity shares of nominal value of Rs2 each in lieu of 1 (One) equity share of nominal value of Rs10 each of the Bank. Today the stock gained another 2 per cent as the stock rallied to a fresh all-time high of Rs 1,770. The stock is now up 1.8 per cent at Rs 1,766, and around 142,000 shares have changed hands at the counter so far on the BSE.

Tata Steel’s Thai unit expects net profit for 2014-15

Tata Steel’s Thai unit expects net profit for 2014-15; Sentimentally positive. It expects to post a net profit for the FY2015, bouncing back from a H1FY2015 loss by boosting sales of high-margin products. During H1FY2015, it reported a net loss of USD2.14mn due to weak construction demand and the impact of imports of steel bar products from China. It expects sales of more than 1.1 million tonne in the current financial year (as against 1.3 million tonne in previous year).

Aurobindo Pharma to consider raising of funds via securities

Aurobindo Pharma to consider raising of funds through securities; positive. The Board of Aurobindo Pharma is likely to meet on November 25, 2014, inter alia, to consider raising of funds through issue of securities. Aurobindo Pharma has recently announced to bidding for Natrol in US for US$132.5 million plus certain liabilities and it also plans Rs1300 crore capex over next two years. The company currently has debts close to US$440mn. The additional equities will ease off pressure on balance sheet.

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The market opens at a record high once again. The Nifty hits 8500 in opening for first time. The 50-share index is at 8510, up 31.70 points while the Sensex is at 28461.77, up 120.46 pts.

Metal stocks are up with Sesa, Hindalco and Tata Steel as major gainers. Infosys and Tata Motors are other gainers. Bajaj Auto, ITC, NTPC, HUL and Dr Reddy's Labs are among the losers.

The Indian rupee opened higher by 7 paise at 61.69 per dollar on Monday versus 61.76 Friday.

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