BULLION - MCX Gold and Silver may note mixed trade in line with international market but bias may be on the downside for the day. COMEX gold trades in a narrow range above $1310/oz after yesterday�s flat close. Gold fell as low as $1306.4/oz in intraday trade yesterday but recovered to end at $1314.2/oz. Gold recovered from lows as global economic concerns led to sell-off in US equity market and increased demand for safe haven assets like gold, yen and bonds. Market sentiments are mired by uncertainty about US-China trade deal, Brexit concerns and possibility of another US government shutdown. Reports noted that President Donald Trump and his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping was "highly unlikely" before the March 1 deadline set by the US for reaching a trade deal. Meanwhile, central banks have lowered growth forecasts and shifted monetary policy stance to support the economy. Bank of England said it expected the UK economy to grow at its slowest pace in a decade. European commission also made downward revisions to most of the region's major economies. Australia central bank shifted to a dovish stance while Indian central bank undertook a rate cut. However, weighing on gold is firmness in US dollar and ETF outflows. The US dollar index has edged up against European currencies amid disappointing European economic data, concerns about Brexit and downbeat central bank outlook. The upside is US dollar however remains in a check by mixed US economic data and Fed�s patient rate hike stance. St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said Fed should tread carefully going forward. ETF outflows also show weaker investor interest. Gold holdings with SDPR ETF fell for the fifth consecutive day Thursday to 803.29 tonnes. Gold may witness mixed trade as support from global uncertainty is countered by US dollar gains but some correction is likely.

ENERGY- Crude Oil- MCX Crude may note some decline tracking cues from international exchange. NYMEX crude trades weaker near $52 per barrel after a sharp 2.5% slide yesterday. NYMEX crude rallied over 30% from recent lows and tested $55 per barrel however the rally ran out of steam amid lack of fresh positive triggers. Crude oil came under pressure amid disappointing economic data from major economies, gains in US dollar and halt in recent rise in US equity market. Market sentiments are mired by uncertainty about US-China trade deal, Brexit concerns and possibility of another US government shutdown. Concerns about trade deal rose amid reports that President Donald Trump and his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping was "highly unlikely" before the March 1 deadline set by the US for reaching a trade deal. Central bank comments have also rekindled global worries. Bank of England said it expected the UK economy to grow at its slowest pace in a decade. 

Natural Gas- MCX Natural gas may note some gains tracking cues from international exchange but overall bias remains on the downside. NYMEX natural gas has edged up to trade near $2.58/mmBtu after a sharp 4.2% slide yesterday. Natural gas hit a low of $2.549/mmBtu in intraday trade yesterday, the lowest level since Feb.2018. Weighing on gas price are mixed weather forecasts which indicate that heating demand may remain low. US EIA weekly report noted a 237 Bcf decline in US natural gas stocks which was much higher than 5-year average decline of 150 Bcf and widened the deficit over 5-year average stocks to 17.5% however it has little price impact as the trend is not expected to continue going ahead. Natural gas may remain under pressure on subdued demand expectations however we could see some short covering move ahead of weekend position squaring. Focus today will be on US weather and weekly rig activity report.

BASE METAL - Base metals on LME trade with a weaker bias today after noting mixed movement yesterday. LME Aluminium was the worst performer with 0.7% decline followed by 0.5% drop in Copper and Lead prices. In other metals Zinc and Nickel ended 1% and 0.5% higher respectively.

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BULLION:-

Gold prices were steady on Monday, having dipped to a one-month low in the previous session after the U.S. dollar firmed on the Federal Reserve’s plans to gradually keep tightening borrowing costs. The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of six major currencies, inched up 0.1 percent. The greenback built on last week’s gains and rose towards a 16-month high. Asian shares fell on Monday, extending weakness in global equity markets at the end of last week as soft Chinese economic data and falling oil prices rekindled anxiety about the outlook for world growth. U.S. producer prices rose more than expected in October and at their fastest pace in six years but measures of underlying price pressure cooled, bolstering the view that the U.S. central bank is not facing resurgence in inflation. Former British foreign minister Boris Johnson called again on Sunday for Prime Minister Theresa May to change course on Brexit, accusing her of forcing through a deal to keep the country locked in the EU’s customs union in a “total surrender”. Italy’s economy minister is looking to revise down the budget’s growth forecast for next year to try to reach a deal with the European Commission over fiscal policy, a government source said on Sunday.  

METALS:-

Nickel prices on both the London and Shanghai exchanges fell on Monday to near 11-month lows due to pressure from a strong U.S. dollar and concerns over economic growth in China. The dollar built on last week’s gains and rose towards a 16-month high on Monday as traders expect the U.S. Federal Reserve to keep tightening monetary policy. The stronger U.S. currency makes dollar-denominated metals more expensive for buyers paying in other currencies. Macroeconomic concerns such as U.S.-China trade tensions have been weighing on industrial metals. Nickel is used mainly in steelmaking. China’s northern province of Hebei, China’s top steel producer, asked 10 major cities and Xiongan new district in the region to issue an orange smog alert, the local government said in a statement on Monday. Under an orange alert, the second-highest warning behind red in China’s four-tier system, steel mills must halve their output, while coal-fired power utilities must operate at “minimum” levels.  

ENERGY:-

Oil prices rose on Monday after top exporter Saudi Arabia announced a cut in supply for December, seen as a measure to halt a market slump that had seen a crude decline by 20 per cent since early October. Saudi Arabia plans to reduce oil supply to world markets by 0.5 million barrels per day in December, its energy minister said on Sunday, as the Opec power faces uncertain prospects in its attempts to persuade other producers to agree a coordinated output cut. Khalid al-Falih told reporters that Saudi Aramco's customer crude oil nominations would fall by 500,000 bpd in December versus November due to seasonal lower demand. The cut represents a reduction in global oil supply of about 0.5%. The announcement came after crude prices declined by around 20 per cent over a month, as supply has surged, especially by the top-three producers USA, Russia and Saudi Arabia. A big concern for Saudi Arabia and other traditional producers from the Middle East dominated Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (Opec) is the surge in US output. US energy firms last week added 12 oil rigs in the week to Nov. 9 looking for new reserves, bringing the total count to 886, the highest level since March 2015, Baker Hughes energy services firm said on Friday.  

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BULLION:-

Gold prices held steady early Friday as investors remained cautious after U.S. Treasury yields hit multi-year peaks and ahead of monthly employment data, which if stronger could boost the Federal Reserve’s case for a tighter monetary policy. Spot gold was flat at $1,199.20 an ounce at the time of writing. Spot gold was on track to gain 0.6 percent for the week, which would mark its biggest weekly gain since the week of Aug. 24. U.S. gold futures rose 0.1 percent to $1,202.90 an ounce. The U.S. Treasuries market’s two-day selloff pushed its volatility to its highest level since June as investors shed their bond holdings on surprisingly strong economic data and signals the Fed would raise interest rates further. Higher interest rates tend to boost the dollar and push bond yields up, putting pressure on gold prices by increasing the opportunity cost of holding nonyielding bullion. The dollar index against a basket of six major currencies was little changed at 95.765, after climbing to a six-week peak of 96.121 in the previous session.  

METALS:-

London aluminum held its ground on Friday as worries over an alumina shortage stoked cost inflation concerns, sending prices towards the biggest weekly gain in nearly six months. London Metal Exchange (LME) aluminium was little changed at $2,167 a tonne, down just 0.1 percent after hitting its loftiest since June at $2,267 the session before. Prices were on track for a 5.8 percent weekly rise, the biggest since April. The Brazilian state of Para on Thursday said it was surprised when Norsk Hydro decided a day earlier to halt operations at Alunorte, the world’s largest alumina refinery, and asked for a report explaining the decision. Other metals came under pressure from a stronger dollar. LME copper eased by 1.63 percent to $6,228 in the previous session, after the U.S. currency was boosted by solid demand for Treasuries following a strong payrolls report. The Shanghai Futures Exchange remains closed for the Golden Week holiday and will reopen on Monday.  

ENERGY:-

Oil prices rose on Friday, as traders focused on U.S. sanctions against Iran’s crude exports that are set to start next month to tighten global markets. The gains helped claw back some of the losses from the previous session due to rising U.S. inventories and after Saudi Arabia and Russia said they would raise output to at least partly make up for expected disruptions from Iran. International benchmark Brent crude oil futures were at $84.98 per barrel at the time of writing, up 40 cents, or 0.5 percent from their last close. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were up 50 cents, or 0.7 percent, at $74.83 a barrel. Overall oil market sentiment is bullish. Financial traders have accumulated bullish long positions betting on a further rise in prices amounting to almost 1.2 billion barrels of oil. Meanwhile, the number of short positions in the six most important petroleum futures and options contracts has fallen to the lowest level since before 2013, creating a near-record imbalance between bullish and bearish positions in financial crude markets. 

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By the end of July every year, millions of children get out of a new job letter from the campus campus. If you get good money at the beginning of the job, then there is no worry for the future. But money is needed in the future. In such a situation, if you save 1200 rupees per month before the start of the job, the fund of one lakh rupees can be easily prepared in two to five years. This savings can be done in post office, from bank to mutual funds.

Make a bank-post office or mutual fund investment plan
There are three options to fund one lakh rupees. In these options, a fund of Rs 1 lakh can be prepared from 2 to 5 years. Where the investment in the post office will start from Rs. 1400 rupees, the investment in the bank will start from Rs. 1900 and a fund of Rs. 1 lakh will be ready. But if someone wants to have a fund of Rs 1 lakh in his investment less than that, then he has to invest in mutual funds. Here the fund will be set up with an investment of Rs. 1200 / month.

RD is not less than 5 years in the post office
The post office only has RD for 5 years. So here we have to invest for at least 5 years. At present, the post office on the 5-year RD is paying an interest of 6.9 percent. If someone wants to set up a fund of Rs. 1 lakh here, then make plans in this manner.


Post Office Investment Plan

• Start from month -1400 Rupees every month
• 
  
• -5 years to run this investment
• 
  
• -The interest rate is 6.9 percent
• 
  
• Fund will be prepared for Rs.1 lakh

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The stock market has created new hai many times in the last few trading sessions. The risk of selling has increased even after reaching new heights of the stock market. In this way, many investors are avoiding the risk of making big investments in the market right now. Experts also believe that higher valuations can be sold in stocks. However, he believes that the market can show further growth. In such a situation, investing in good shares with small amounts in the market right now would be a better strategy. We have selected 5 stocks from the brokerage house, which are less than Rs. 100. At the same time, it can get returns up to 75 percent further.

Better portfolio with less risk
Experts believe that investors should put their amounts in a stock and not in a stock. This means investor investing in better stocks of small unit cost. In these stocks of Rs 100, an investor can invest in a very small amount and can create a better portfolio of many stocks. This not only reduces their risk. In addition, stocks will also have the advantage of growth.

What stocks invest in

South Indian Bank
The South Indian Bank is a Mid-sized Bank in the Private Sector. It has 855 branches and 1386 ATMs across the country. Mainly bank business in South India. The bank has a strong customer in the South. The loan book of the bank is getting stronger. The deposit has improved in the bank. Both Ripley and SMEs have growth in the segment. Focus on improving management asset quality. The brokerage house, Cholamandalam Securities Limited has set a target of Rs 26 for the stock. For the current price of 18 rupees, the share can get 45 percent return.

Tata Power
Tata Power is India's largest power generation company. The company has been consistently strengthening its balance sheet. The company will have the advantage of increasing the demand for power in the coming days. In the first quarter of the fiscal year 2019, Tata Power's profits have gone up by more than 5 times to Rs 1,769 crore. In the first quarter of the fiscal year 2018, Tata Power's profit was Rs. 391 crores. At the same time, the income increased by 14 percent to Rs 7313 crore. Brokerage house Elvis has given a target of 92 rupees for the stock. For the current price of 72 rupees, the share can get 28 percent returns. 

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Gold

MCX Gold prices edged higher in evening trades on Thursday after U.S. economic data but overall prices are still in pressure. On the daily chart, Gold has given breakdown of rising wedge pattern; which indicate bearish reversal for near term. Moreover, price has reversed from 50 days SMA; which act as resistance zone for the prices. Furthermore, momentum indicator RSI (14) and MACD has shown bearishness with negative crossover. On the other hand, COMEX Gold has sustained near $1300 levels. Therefore, we expect sideways to bearish movement in MCX Gold prices.

Crude oil

Oil prices rebounded on Thursday as crude oil inventories fell by 3.620 million barrels in the week ended May 25. On daily chart MCX Price has given rising channel breakdown and sustained below it. Moreover, price has tested upper Bollinger Band formation and retreated from there. Furthermore, price has also sustained below 21 days SMA on daily chart. In addition, momentum indicator RSI has slipped form overbought zone and shown negative crossover. So based on the above analysis, we expect bearish movement in the Crude oil towards 4450.

Natural Gas

MCX Natural Gas price has rebounded on Thursday after a long correction in prior two days. On the daily chart, price has been trading within a channel formation and moved back to test upper line of the above formation. Moreover, price has sustained above 21 days SMA; which indicate bullish moves. Furthermore, a momentum indicator RSI (14) and MACD has climbed to upward with positive crossover, which suggest buying opportunity in the counter. So based on the above technical studies, we expect bullish move in MCX Natural Gas prices.

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Gold Prices Slips Amid Rising U.S. Treasury Yields, Stronger Dollar -   Gold prices slipped on Friday in Asia amid rising U.S. treasury yields and a stronger dollar. Meanwhile, the dollar hovered near five-month highs well above the 93 level, after climbing to this year’s fresh high at 93.46 overnight. The US Dollar Index that tracks the greenback against a basket of six major currencies last stood at 93.38. The rising United States 10-Year Treasury yield  was cited as tailwind for the dollar. The yield further rose to 3.122%, up 0.43% on Friday morning - the highest level since 2011. Higher yields triggered a spike in demand for the greenback. Dollar-denominated assets such as gold are sensitive to moves in the dollar.

 Ten companies approved for copper scrap imports in 12th batch of approvals - Total approved copper scrap imports for this year rose to 482,400 mt, after the 12th batch of approvals for restricted solid scrap material imports was released on Tuesday May 15, SMM learned. Ten companies that imported scrap metals, waste plastics, and waste paper received approval. Approvals were granted by the solid waste management centre of China's Ministry of Ecology and Environment. SMM surveyed that supply pressures have not built up from the decline in the approved copper scrap imports, due to sluggish downstream demand. Orders dipped from the start of May across copper rod producers that used copper scrap as raw materials. Profits were lower for products produced from scrap while profits from copper rods produced from copper cathode grew.

Fair weather drives operating rates across zinc galvanisers in Apr - Operating rates across China's zinc galvanising plants in April gained 19.29 percentage points on the month and stood at 86.1%, SMM surveyed. This is up 19.16 percentage points on the year.  Most galvanising plants in north China cut production for environmental inspections in April 2017, and this accounted for the significant year on year increase in operating rates. During this closure, the plants undertook technological overhaul in acid polluting and wastewater treatment. They resumed regular operations in May 2017.

Oil Prices Firm As Brent Edges Close to $80 Per Barrel - Oil prices firmed on Friday morning in Asia, with Brent crude creeping ever closer to $80 per barrel, a level it has not seen since November 2014, as supplies tighten while demand remains strong.Geopolitical risks continue to prop up prices, and an unexpected fall in U.S. inventories pushed them up further. U.S. crude inventories fell by 1.4 million barrels in the week to May 11, and gasoline stocks fell by 3.79 million barrels. Meanwhile, looming U.S. sanctions against Iran, which currently produces 4% of global oil supplies, raised fears that oil markets will face shortages later this year when trade restrictions take effect. In Venezuela, production also plunged to 1.5 million barrels last month, its lowest level in decades due to its ongoing economic crisis. On the other hand, U.S. crude is increasingly appearing on global markets as a result of its surging production.

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Gold prices remained under pressure on surging U.S. bond yields and a stronger dollar -   Gold on MCX settled down -0.57% at 30997 tracking weakness from Comex Gold price while fell sharply earlier in the week yesterday also settled at $1,291.50/oz tumbling to a 5-month low amid speculation the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates in June. A stronger dollar also dented gold prices. Yesterday Gold prices recovered losses after falling to a session low of $1,285.70 as the dollar retreated from a five-month high, while the 10- year treasury yield met resistance after hitting a nearly seven-year high. The move off the lows in the yellow metal was also supported by renewed geopolitical uncertainty after President Donald Trump appeared less certain as to whether a planned summit with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un would still take place.

 Zinc prices settled flat with the uplift from encouraging Chinese home sales data capped by a stronger dollar - Zinc on MCX settled up 0.02% at 208.60 prices remained generally steady as weak indications such as China's mining and industrial production were announced the next day and wearing mood was drifting. While LME zinc gained 0.5 percent to $3,076.50 a tonne while sentiments remain weak on risk appetite was news that North Korea cancelled high-level talks with Seoul, denouncing military exercises between South Korea and the United States, breaking from several months of easing relations on the peninsula. Also the United States is seeking to make a  rade deal with China, White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow said as bilateral talks between the world's two economic powerhouses resume in Washington this week.

Oil Prices Rise On U.S. Stock Draws - Oil prices rose on Thursday morning in Asia after an inventory report showed U.S. crude and gasoline stocks fell more than expected.According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration’s weekly report, U.S. crude inventories fell by 1.4 million barrels in the week to May 11, compared with analyst expectations for a 763,000 barrel decrease. U.S. gasoline stocks fell 3.79 million barrels. Analysts had expected a 1.42 million barrel decline. Meanwhile, looming U.S. sanctions against Iran, which currently produces 4% of global oil supplies, raised fears that oil markets will face shortages later this year when trade restrictions take effect. In Venezuela, production also plunged to 1.5 million barrels last month, its lowest level in decades due to its ongoing economic crisis.

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Gold prices Recover After Sliding to New 2018 Low -   Gold prices recovered slightly after sliding to the lowest level in 2018 earlier in the day amid surging U.S. treasury yields and a stronger dollar. Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index that tracks the greenback against a basket of six major currencies last stood at 93.20, up 0.06%. The dollar hit 93.32 on Tuesday night in Asia, the highest level this year. As the relations on the Korean peninsula improved and a full-blown trade war between the U.S. and China became less likely, investors turned to U.S. 10-year Treasury yields for cues. On the other hand, the United States 10-Year treasury yield further rose to 3.089 on early Wednesday morning, the highest level in 7 years. A rise in yields widened interest rate gap between the U.S. and other developed economies, increasing the dollar’s appeal.

 Spot lead prices to extend uptick on robust downstream demand - Prices of spot lead in China are likely to extend gains in the longer term, driven by an expected uptick in lead consumption and as environmental limitations over secondary lead production continue, SMM believes. In May, traders became keen on purchases as the market gained. Traders began to stockpile at relatively low prices while some lead-acid battery plants ramped up production as orders grew. This hinted at an overall resilient demand downstream in May. Output of secondary lead is expected to sharply decline in May as authorities intensify environmental inspections in the secondary lead industry.

Oil Prices Ease On U.S. Crude Build - Oil prices retreated from multi-year highs on Wednesday morning in Asia, pulled back by an industry organization’s comment that U.S. crude stockpiles built unexpectedly last week.The American Petroleum Institute said crude stockpiles rose nearly 5 million barrels, compared with analysts’ expectations for a 763,000-barrel draw. Rising U.S. drilling for new oil production has also kept oil prices in check. U.S. drillers added 10 oil rigs in the week to May 11, bringing the total count to 844, the highest level since March 2015. Additionally, oil prices eased as the U.S. dollar strengthened against other currencies. As the dollar strengthens, investors can retreat from dollar-denominated commodities like oil. Oil prices have surged more than 70% over the last year as demand has risen sharply while production has been restricted by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), led by Saudi Arabia, and other producers, including Russia.

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