BULLION:-
Gold prices held firm on Thursday after hitting the highest in two weeks in the previous session, with improved risk appetite weighing on the U.S. dollar. The dollar was broadly lower as demand for safe haven currencies declined after a rebound in global equities and the euro strengthened on hopes for a resolution of Italy's budget dispute. Meanwhile, Asian shares stepped ahead cautiously, though rising U.S. interest rates and escalating trade tensions kept financial markets on edge amid signs of slackening global growth. The dollar has been under pressure this week as cautious comments by Fed officials about a potential global slowdown raised doubts on the pace of interest rate hikes. The doubts were heightened by data on Wednesday showing weekly jobless claims rose to a more than four-month high and new orders for U.S.-made capital goods were unexpectedly flat in October. Are seeing some impact of the weaker than expected durable goods number, which has reinforced investors to question their expectations of rate hikes in 2019 and weaker dollar followed," Hynes added.
METALS:-
London copper received support at the Bollinger middle band as it extended its increase of the daytime and mostly hovered above the daily moving average. It closed at $6,233/mt after rising to a high of $6,240/mt. With support at the five-day moving average, the SHFE 1901 contract settled at 49,530 yuan/mt with open interest up 2,704 lots to 518,000 lots. Market sentiment improved as the equity selloff eased. Development of China-US trade conflict will remain in focus in the near run. Today, the contract is expected to trade at 49,100-49,600 yuan/mt with its LME counterpart trading at $6,200-6,250/mt. Spot premiums is set at 50-120 yuan/mt as supplies are tight. Weak fundamentals grew confidence in short positions, which lowered LME nickel by 0.5% and the SHFE 1901 contract by 1.41% overnight. This was despite a softened US dollar. Limited upward momentum will see LME nickel hovering weakly around $11,000/mt, with the contract trading at 90,500-92,000 yuan/mt today. Spot prices are seen at 91,000-102,500 yuan/mt today.
ENERGY:-
Oil markets started Thursday timidly, with rising U.S. crude inventories pressuring prices but an expected supply cut by producer cartel OPEC offering some support. U.S. commercial crude oil inventories C-STK-T-EIA rose by 4.9 million barrels to 446.91 million barrels last week, the Energy Information Administration (EIA) said in a weekly report on Wednesday. That was the highest level since December 2017. Crude oil production C-OUT-T-EIA remained at a record 11.7 million barrels per day (bpd), the EIA said. Some analysts have warned that despite high global production, oil markets have little spare capacity to handle unforeseen supply disruptions. However, Innes said that once U.S. pipeline bottlenecks were alleviated, which he said he expected in 2019, "the entire notion of a tight global spare capacity argument goes down the well".
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