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Wednesday, 5 April 2017

DAILY COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY- 5 Apr 2017

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Oil rises on signs of gradual tightening in global supply

Oil prices climbed on Wednesday on signs of gradual tightening in a market bloated by years of overproduction that has left storage tanks around the world brimming with unsold fuel.

Prices for front-month Brent crude futures, the international benchmark for oil, were at $54.28 per barrel at 0149 GMT, up 11 cents from their last close.

In the United States, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were up 16 cents at $51.19 a barrel.

Traders said that slowly tightening market conditions were driving price rises, with the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) leading an effort to cut output.

With most of OPEC's crude exported on tankers, tracking ship movements can be a good gauge of market conditions.

Shipped oil supplies have reduced by as much as 17 percent since the beginning of the year, according to oil analysis firm Vortexa.

"We have seen a significant reduction in global oil supply since January, with oil on water going from 978 million barrels on Jan. 1 to 812 million barrels on April 3," said Vortex chief executive Fabio Kuhn.

"These changes are a signal that the rebalancing is happening faster than many in the market believe."

Oil trading data in Thomson Reuters Eikon shows that OPEC shipments to the rest of the world fell to 813.7 million barrels by the end of March from 796.6 million barrels in January.

But the tighter markets will only gradually lead to a reduction in bloated inventories as production in some countries, especially the United States, is rising.

U.S. crude stocks fell by 1.8 million barrels last week to 533.7 million, still a near all-time record, according to data released late Tuesday from the American Petroleum Institute.

The U.S. Energy Information Administration will issue its inventory figures on Wednesday.

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