BULLION - Bullion counter may remain on sideways path amid lot of volatility. Gold prices inched up on Wednesday as markets eyed ongoing political and trade turbulence, even as a U.S. decision to delay tariffs on some Chinese goods boosted risk appetite. On Tuesday, U.S. President Donald Trump backed off his Sept. 1 deadline for 10% tariffs on some Chinese imports, boosting equity markets . Protests in Hong Kong, uncertainty about Brexit, and the sustained Sino-U.S. trade war still trouble markets. Investors are focused on the Federal Reserve's annual symposium next week. Traders see a 91.2% chance of a 25 basis-point rate cut by the Fed this September. The 10-year U.S. Treasury note climbed 6 basis points overnight, pushing away from a three year low touched a week ago.

ENERGY- Crude oil may trade with negative path as oil prices fell on Wednesday after industry data showed U.S. crude inventories unexpectedly rose last week, erasing some gains from the last session that were stoked after Washington said it would delay tariffs on some Chinese goods. The move by U.S. President Donald Trump sent commodities, stocks and other assets higher because of optimism the effects of the trade war, already being felt in economies across the world, will be blunted. Oil prices surged by as much as nearly 5 percent. China's July crude oil throughput rose 4% from a year earlier, official data showed on Wednesday, buoyed by improved refinery profit-margins and as new plants started production. Markets had been pummelled in recent weeks amid tough talk from Trump on trade and they remain on tenterhooks due to the unpredictably of the U.S. president. U.S. natural gas futures rose on Tuesday on forecasts for greater heat and cooling demand next week than previously expected despite an increase in output to a record high.

BASE METAL - Base metals may trade on sideways path. China reported a raft of unexpectedly weak July data on Wednesday, including a surprise drop in industrial output growth to a more than 17-year low, underlining widening economic cracks as the trade war with the United States intensifies. London copper fell on Wednesday, as copper exports from some of Peru's top mines resumed after weeks of protests that soothed supply concerns. Copper exports from Peru's port of Matarani have resumed after anti-mining protests that had blocked key infrastructure in the country's southern copper belt eased over the weekend, a spokeswoman for the port operator said. The London Metal Exchange (LME) lead market was roiled in early June by news of an unplanned outage at the Port Pirie lead smelter in Australia. It's just been upended again by a second shutdown of the plant, which is operated by Nyrstar, the Belgian company that had to be rescued from potential insolvency by trade house Trafigura. Indonesia's President Joko Widodo will make the final decision on whether the country brings forward an export ban on mineral ore that is currently due to come into force in 2022, the minister in charge of mining said on Tuesday.

 

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BULLION - Bullion counter may remain on firm path as gold prices rose on Friday, holding above the key $1,500 per ounce pivot, as fresh concerns about the U.S.-China trade dispute and worries over global economic slowdown lifted demand for the safe-haven metal. Trade tensions between the United States and China further escalated after a report that Washington is delaying a decision about licenses for U.S. firms to restart trade with Huawei Technologies. Meanwhile, U.S. economic data pointed to a robust labor market as the number of Americans filing applications for unemployment benefits unexpectedly fell last week, allaying some worries about the potential for a recession and helping U.S. Treasury yields rise. Central banks in New Zealand, Thailand and India stunned financial markets on Wednesday with a series of surprising interest rate cuts and pointing to policymakers dwindling ammunition to fight off a downturn.

ENERGY- Crude oil may trade with positive path as oil prices rose on Friday, supported by expectations of more production cuts by OPEC amid fears the U.S.-China trade row could lead to a global slowdown, curbing demand for crude. Both contracts jumped more than 2% on Thursday to recover from January lows, buoyed by reports that Saudi Arabia, the worlds biggest oil exporter, had called other producers to discuss the recent slide in crude prices. Oil prices have still lost more than 20% from their peaks reached in April, putting them in bear territory. Global financial markets were rocked over the past week after U.S. President Donald Trump said he would impose 10% tariffs on Chinese goods starting September and a fall in the Chinese yuan sparked fears of a currency war. Saudi Arabia, de facto leader of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), planned to maintain its crude oil exports below 7 million barrels per day in August and September to bring the market back to balance and help absorb global oil inventories, a Saudi oil official said on Wednesday. U.S. natural gas demand is at an all-time high and expected to keep rising - and yet, prices are falling. U.S. gas futures this week collapsed to a three-year low, while spot prices were on track to post their weakest summer in over 20 years. In other markets, such lackluster pricing would cause investment to retrench and supply to contract.

BASE METAL - Base metals may trade on sideways to weaker path. Anti-mining protests in Peru have held up about $400 million in copper exports from some of the country's top mines and blocked supplies from reaching their operations for nearly three weeks, port operator Tisur said. Copper production in Democratic Republic of Congo rose 12.5% in the first half of the year from a year earlier to 672,272 tonnes, according to Central Bank figures. London nickel prices eased in early trade on Friday, slipping from a 16-month high struck in the previous session, after Indonesia's nickel miners association said it had urged the government not to bring forward a ban on mineral ore exports. Russian aluminium giant Rusal said on Friday lifting the share of high value-added products in its sales might prove to be tough in coming months due to the weaker market for the metal, which caused a 38% slump in its first-half net profit.

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BULLION - The price of gold shot up from about 34040 to around 35630 as investor flocked into gold as yields plummeted following the increase in tariffs between the US and China. Trump said he would impose an additional 10% tariff on $300 billion worth of Chinese imports on Sept. 1 after U.S. negotiators returned from trade talks in Shanghai, saying China had failed to buy large quantities of U.S. agricultural products as promised. Trump also said if trade negotiations fail to progress he could raise tariffs further - even beyond the 25% levy he has already imposed on $250 billion of imports from China. The tariffs may also force the Federal Reserve to again cut interest rates to protect the U.S. economy from trade-policy risk. The October Fed funds rate futures FFV9 have jumped to now fully price in a rate cut in September, compared with only around 60% before the tariff announcement. Another 25 basis point move is priced in by December.

ENERGY- Steadying after an overnight plunge following U.S. President Donald Trumps move to impose more tariffs on Chinese imports, intensifying a trade war that has hit global growth. Brent crude slumped more than 7% on Thursday, its steepest drop in more than three years. U.S. crude fell nearly 8%, posting its worst day in more than four years, The collapse ended a fragile rally built on steady drawdowns in U.S. inventories, even as global demand looked shaky due to the trade dispute between the worlds two biggest economies. Total U.S. oil demand in May fell 98,000 bpd to 20.26 million bpd, data showed earlier this week. OPEC and partners including Russia, an alliance known as OPEC+, have been curbing output this year to support the market. In July, OPEC production revisited a 2011 low, helped by a further cut by Saudi Arabia. Despite the rally on Wednesday, the hotter trends in the overnight data are still not hot enough to impress and suggests there is still a bearish bias in the market. The rally we say yesterday was probably driven by short-covering due to the slight change in the weather pattern and grossly oversold technical indicators. Weekly storage report is expected to show a 57 Bcf injection for the week-ending July 26. Energy Aspects is calling for a 55 Bcf injection. Intercontinental Exchange EIA Financial Weekly Index futures settled at 60 Bcf. Last year the EIA recorded a 31 Bcf injection for the period, and the five-year average build is 37 Bcf.

BASE METAL - Copper hitting its lowest in over three weeks after U.S. President Donald Trump said he would slap a 10% tariff on the remaining $300 billion of Chinese imports from next month. The reactivation of a smelter belonging to Chiles state-run Codelco, the worlds top copper producer, will be further delayed until the end of October this year after missing a previous target of April. Copper contract on the Shanghai Futures Exchange dipped 0.6%, aluminium eased 0.2%. Three-month LME copper touched its lowest since July 10 at $5,876 a tonne before paring losses to $5,899, a decline of 0.5%.Zinc and lead dropped 0.8% each. However, nickel rose 1.2% and tin was almost unchanged. Nickel prices were also under pressure after Indonesia's state mining company PT Aneka Tam bangs nickel ore output in Jan-Jun rose 27% on year to 4.79 mln tn. Benchmark aluminium on the London Metal Exchange dropped for a third session and slipped 1.1% in final open-outcry trading to $1,780 a tonne, its weakest since July 3.

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BULLION - Bullion counter may trade on negative path as gold prices slipped to a two-week low on Thursday after the U.S. Federal Reserve delivered a 25-basis-point rate cut as expected but ruled out a lengthy easing cycle, sending the dollar to a two-year peak. Policymakers moved the U.S. central bank's benchmark overnight lending rate to a target range of 2.00% to 2.25%, citing concerns about the global economy and muted U.S. inflation. However, Fed Chair Jerome Powell, speaking in a news conference after the release of the central bank's statement, characterized Wednesday's rate cut as "a mid-cycle adjustment to policy", a sign to markets that further sharp cuts were not imminent. U.S. Treasuries reacted to Powell's remarks by flattening the yield curve as the front-end of the market scaled back on prior expectations for at least a 100 basis points of easing in the near-term. U.S. and Chinese negotiators ended a brief round of trade talks on Wednesday with little sign of progress and agreed to meet again in September, prolonging an uneasy truce in a year-long trade war between the world's two largest economies. The U.S. Mint sold 5,500 ounces of American Eagle gold coins in July, up 10% from the previous month, according to the latest data.

ENERGY- Crude oil may trade on negative path as oil prices fell more than $1 on Thursday, declining for the first time in six days, after the U.S. Federal Reserve dampened hopes for a string of rate cuts and Sino-U.S. trade talks ended without progress. The drop came despite a bigger-than-expected decline in inventories in the U.S. and a drop in crude production among OPEC members, along with Libya cutting exports, typically bullish drivers for the market. Meanwhile, U.S. crude oil stockpiles fell for the seventh straight week, declining to their lowest levels since November even as production rebounded and net imports increased, the Energy Information Administration said on Wednesday. Crude inventories fell 8.5 million barrels in the week ended July 26, far exceeding analysts expectations for a decrease of 2.6 million barrels. Libyas state-owned National Oil Corp declared force majeure on loadings of crude from the countrys largest oil field on Wednesday. U.S. natural gas futures rose 4.5% on Wednesday, recovering from a three-year low touched the previous day as investors covered short positions..

BASE METAL - Base metals may trade on sideways to weaker path. Pressure on China's factories eased a little in July due to growth-boosting steps from the government, but overall manufacturing activity remained in contraction, a private survey showed on Thursday. London copper prices slipped to a three-week low on Thursday after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said the U.S. central bank's first rate cut since 2008 was not the start of a long easing cycle, while Sino-U.S. trade talks appeared to have made little progress. U.S. and Chinese negotiators ended a round of trade talks with little sign of progress and agreed to meet again in September, prolonging an uneasy truce in a year-long trade war between the world's top two economies. A Chinese billionaire has been indicted by a grand jury on charges he schemed with the aluminum company he founded to evade $1.8 billion of tariffs by smuggling huge amounts of the metal into the United States, federal prosecutors said on Wednesday.

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BULLION - Bullion counter may trade on weaker path as gold prices witnessed sharp decline in the previous session, while investors awaited U.S. economic growth data due later in the day that could provide clues about the Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting. Gold fell on Thursday after data showed that weekly U.S. jobless claims number fell to a three-month low last week, pointing to strength in the labor market, while new orders for key U.S.-made capital goods surged 1.9 % in June. Market participants are now looking ahead to the U.S. central bank's July 30-31 monetary policy meeting where it is expected to trim its interest rate by at least 25 basis points. U.S. Treasury yields following rosier-than-expected economic sentiment from the European Central Bank. The ECB signalled its intention to explore monetary easing, but left interest rates unchanged, and bank President Mario Draghi struck a more upbeat tone on the economy than investors expected. The ECB signalled its intention to explore monetary easing, but left interest rates unchanged, and bank President Mario Draghi struck a more upbeat tone on the economy than investors expected.

ENERGY- Crude oil may trade on weaker path as oil prices fell after a Reuters poll showed global economic growth is likely to slow further amid the U.S.-China trade war, although losses were limited by tensions in the Middle East. A global economic growth rut risks deepening, despite expectations that major central banks will cut rates or ease policy further, according to Reuters polls of over 500 economists who remain worried about the U.S.-China trade war. Increasing pessimism is clear from the latest polls taken July 1-24, which show the growth outlook for nearly 90% of over 45 economies polled was either downgraded or left unchanged. That applied not just to this year but also 2020. While concerns over Middle East supply disruptions have led to recent price spikes, oil has generally been under pressure from worries about global economic growth amid growing signs of harm from the rumbling Sino-U.S. trade war over the past year. U.S. natural gas futures gained over 1% on Thursday following the release of a report showing a smaller-than-usual storage build last week and forecasts for slightly higher demand over the next two weeks than previously expected.

BASE METAL - Base metals may trade on subdued path. Copper prices dropped on Friday, on track for their first weekly decline in three, as comments from European Central Bank President Mario Draghi were less dovish than hoped after the bank held rates steady at its latest meeting. An aggressive easing by a major central bank generally supports growth and helps lift metal prices. Perus president said his government will re-evaluate its recent decision to grant a construction permit to Southern Copper Corp for its proposed mine Tia Maria at the request of local authorities calling for its annulment. The European Central Bank (ECB) signalled its intention to explore monetary easing but left interest rates unchanged on Thursday. Lead negotiators for China and the United States will meet in Shanghai on Tuesday for two days in the next round of trade talks aimed to end their year-long trade war, Chinas commerce ministry confirmed. 

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BULLION - Bullion counter may trade on mixed path. Gold prices edged higher on Wednesday, recovering from a one-week low touched in the previous session, on expectations of an interest rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve and escalating tensions in the Middle East. The European Central Bank is expected to signal easier monetary policy at its meeting this week, while the Turkish central bank is expected to make a 250 bp cut on July 25. A U.S. Navy ship took defensive action against a second Iranian drone in the Strait of Hormuz last week, but did not see the drone go into the water, the U.S. military said on Tuesday. U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer and senior U.S. officials will travel to Shanghai on Monday for face-to-face trade meetings with Chinese officials, Bloomberg reported on Tuesday, citing unnamed sources. Futures Fed watch remain 100% priced for a rate cut of 25 basis points (bps) by the Fed next week, and have even priced in an 18% chance of a 50 bp cut.

ENERGY- Crude oil may trade on positive path as oil prices rose on Wednesday, extending gains after an industry group reported a much bigger than expected drop in U.S. inventories, while the U.S. Navy said it may have downed a second Iranian drone last week. U.S. crude stocks fell more than expected in the week to July 19, declining by 11 million barrels to 449 million, the trade group American Petroleum Institute said on Tuesday. Crude stocks at the Cushing, Oklahoma, delivery hub fell by 448,000 barrels, although gasoline stocks rose by 4.4 million barrels, compared with analysts expectations for a 730,000-barrel decline. Signs of rising tensions in the Middle East offset a weaker global growth outlook from the International Monetary Fund, which had kept prices largely flat for much of Tuesdays session. Irans capture of a British oil tanker last week sparked worries about supply disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, through which about a fifth of the worlds oil flows. The tensions come as the United States aims to cut off Irans oil exports and against the backdrop of supply cuts led by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries since the start of the year to prop up prices. U.S. natural gas futures eased on Tuesday on forecasts for slightly cooler weather and lower demand over the next two weeks than previously forecast.

BASE METAL - Base metals may trade with upside path. Industrial metals on the London Metal Exchange advanced on Wednesday on reports of potential progress in trade negotiations between the United States and China. The trade war between the world's two biggest economies has weighed on global economic growth and dimmed demand outlook for industrial metals. A sign of progress in resolving the dispute often supports prices of base metals. China's central bank governor Yi Gang said the country's current interest rate level is appropriate, the financial magazine Caixin reported on Tuesday. Global aluminium production fell by 0.5% in the first half of this year, according to the International Aluminium Institute (IAI). Chinese output fell by 3.1% in June and by 0.4% over the first six months of the year, according to the IAI. Alcoa, which operates the Canadian smelter, expects the return to full capacity to be achieved in the second quarter of 2020.

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BULLION - Bullion counter may trade on sideways path as some profit booking can be seen at higher levels. Gold prices held steady, as Chinas industrial output grew 6.3% in June from a year earlier, official data showed on Monday, picking up from Mays 17-year low and handily beating market expectations. Retail sales for June rose 9.8% in annual terms. Analysts had expected growth to cool to 8.3% from Mays 8.6%. Hedge funds and money managers cut their bullish stance in COMEX gold in the week to July 9, the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) said in a report on Friday. Physical gold buying stalled in top Asian hubs last week as consumers sold back bullion to cash in on a steep price rally, while a recent import duty hike further dented waning interest in an Indian market hit by a surge in local rates.

ENERGY- Crude oil may trade on weaker path as oil prices slipped on Monday after China posted its slowest quarterly economic growth in at least 27 years, reinforcing concerns about demand in the world's largest crude oil importer. Refineries in the path of Tropical Storm Barry continued to operate despite flood threats while the storm has slashed U.S. Gulf of Mexico crude output by 73%, or 1.38 million barrels per day. An unwinding of the risk premium from tropical storm Barry, lower oil demand forecasts and a lack of news from the Middle East may have led to a muted oil price reaction. China's economic growth slowed to 6.2% in the second quarter from a year earlier, in line with analysts' expectations, with demand at home and abroad faltering as the Sino-U.S. trade war bites. In the Middle East, Iranian President Hassan Rouhani said in a televised speech on Sunday that Iran is ready to hold talks with the United States if Washington lifts sanctions and returns to the 2015 nuclear deal it quit last year. Chinas June crude oil throughput rose 7.7% year on year to 53.7 million tonnes, the National Bureau of Statistics said on Monday.

BASE METAL - Base metals may trade with sideways path. Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange edged up 0.1% to $5,939 a tonne, while the most-traded copper contract on the Shanghai Futures Exchange eased 0.1% to 46,620 yuan a tonne. Chinas June unwrought copper imports fell 27.2% from a year earlier to 326,000 tonnes, while copper concentrate imports in June dropped to a six-month low at 1.47 million tonnes, official data showed. Chinese steel futures dropped to their lowest in three weeks on Monday, staying under pressure due to uncertain prospects for demand amid a gloomy outlook for the worlds second-largest economy, and weak production margins. Shanghai nickel prices on Monday surged to their highest in more than 10 months, tracking an overnight rally in London, on concerns that top producer Indonesia will resume an export ban on ore in 2022. Indonesia, which has large nickel laterite ore reserves used to make nickel pig iron for the stainless steel industry, relaxed a ban to export nickel ore in 2017, but said at the time exports of unprocessed ore will be restricted again in 2022. 

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BULLION - Bullion counter may trade on sideways path as some profit booking can be seen at higher levels. Gold prices rose on Friday and were on track for a weekly gain, as worries over renewed U.S.-China trade tensions and expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve boosted demand for the safe-haven metal. Fed Chair Jerome Powell indicated on Thursday that a rate cut is likely at the Feds next meeting as businesses slow investment due to trade disputes and a global growth slowdown. U.S. President Donald Trump said on Thursday that China was not living up to promises it made on buying agricultural products from American farmers. Meanwhile, the dollar index steadied on Friday after falling to near one-week low in the previous session, regaining some traction against its peers on stronger U.S. inflation data. The signs of a pick-up in underlying inflation, along with separate data on weekly jobless claims showing the labour market remained solid, curbed financial market expectations of a more aggressive 50 basis point cut at the Feds July 30-31 meeting.

ENERGY- Crude oil may trade on upside path as oil prices rose on Friday as U.S. oil producers in the Gulf of Mexico cut more than half their output in the face of a tropical storm and as tensions continued in the Middle East. By Thursday, oil companies in the Gulf of Mexico had cut more than 1 million barrels per day (bpd) of output, or 53% of the regions production, due to Tropical Storm Barry. The storm was forecast to become a category one hurricane with at least 74-mile-per hour (119 km-per-hour) winds. Brent crude oil ... extended its gains as storms in the Gulf of Mexico halted production of oil and U.S. oil inventories continued to recede more than expected. Meanwhile, Irans alleged attempt to block a British-owned tanker heightened tensions in the Middle East in the wake of attacks on tankers and the downing of U.S. drone by Iran in June. But a lower 2020 oil demand outlook from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries kept price gains in check. OPEC said the world would need 29.27 million bpd of crude from its 14 members in 2020, down 1.34 million bpd this year. U.S. natural gas futures fell on Thursday, a day after hitting a five-week high, as midday forecasts called for less hot weather over the next two weeks than previously expected.

BASE METAL - Base metals may trade with sideways path. Industrial metals traded in tight ranges on Friday, as investors exercised caution ahead of a key set of data from top metal player China later in the session. China is due to release its trade data for the month of June later on Friday, including imports and exports figures of key metals. China is the worlds biggest copper consumer and a key user or producer of the majority of the main base metals. U.S. President Donald Trump said on Thursday that China was not living up to promises it made on buying agricultural products from American farmers as the worlds two largest economies work to resolve a trade dispute.

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BULLION - Bullion counter may trade on weaker path as gold prices slipped on Wednesday as higher Treasury yields lifted the dollar, while markets awaited testimony from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell for clarity on an expected U.S. rate cut. The dollar index edged toward a three-week high against a basket of major currencies on Wednesday, as easing bets of deep U.S. interest rate cuts pushed Treasury yields higher. Fed Chair Powell testifies before Congress on Wednesday and Thursday and the direction of the U.S. dollar depends on the tone of his comments. Expectations for a 50 basis point rate cut this month have evaporated, but investors still expect a 25 basis point cut due to weak inflation and trade war worries. Futures are still fully priced for a 25-basis-point cut at the Feds July 30-31 meeting, but have abandoned wagers on a half-point move. They had implied a 25% probability of an aggressive cut before Fridays upbeat jobs report.

ENERGY- Crude oil may trade on upside path as oil prices gained more than 1% in early trade on Wednesday, led by U.S. crude after an industry group reported that U.S. stockpiles fell for a fourth week in a row, alleviating concerns about oversupply. The U.S. and global benchmarks have risen this year as OPEC and big producers like Russia have honored commitments to cut production and support prices. U.S. crude stockpiles fell more than forecast last week, while gasoline inventories decreased and distillate stocks built, data from industry group the American Petroleum Institute (API) showed on Tuesday. Oil prices have been under pressure from concerns about global economic growth amid growing signs of harm from the U.S.-China trade war that has rumbled on over the last year.

BASE METAL - Base metals may trade with positive path. Metals and mining company Nyrstar said on Tuesday that it was extending force majeure at its Port Pirie lead and zinc smelter in Australia until the last week of July, from the second week of this month as previously planned. Shanghai lead hit a two-month high at 16,450 yuan a tonne, while London lead hovered around a one-week high, trading up 0.4% at 0203 GMT. Nickel may test 920 while taking support near 900. London nickel rose as much as 2.1% to $12,970 a tonne, its highest since April 17, while Shanghai nickel jumped to 103,160 yuan ($14,985.69) a tonne, a three-month high. 

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BULLION - Bullion counter may trade on weaker path as gold prices slipped on Wednesday as higher Treasury yields lifted the dollar, while markets awaited testimony from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell for clarity on an expected U.S. rate cut. The dollar index edged toward a three-week high against a basket of major currencies on Wednesday, as easing bets of deep U.S. interest rate cuts pushed Treasury yields higher. Fed Chair Powell testifies before Congress on Wednesday and Thursday and the direction of the U.S. dollar depends on the tone of his comments. Expectations for a 50 basis point rate cut this month have evaporated, but investors still expect a 25 basis point cut due to weak inflation and trade war worries. Futures are still fully priced for a 25-basis-point cut at the Fed�s July 30-31 meeting, but have abandoned wagers on a half-point move. They had implied a 25% probability of an aggressive cut before Friday�s upbeat jobs report.

ENERGY- Crude oil may trade on upside path as oil prices gained more than 1% in early trade on Wednesday, led by U.S. crude after an industry group reported that U.S. stockpiles fell for a fourth week in a row, alleviating concerns about oversupply. The U.S. and global benchmarks have risen this year as OPEC and big producers like Russia have honored commitments to cut production and support prices. U.S. crude stockpiles fell more than forecast last week, while gasoline inventories decreased and distillate stocks built, data from industry group the American Petroleum Institute (API) showed on Tuesday. Oil prices have been under pressure from concerns about global economic growth amid growing signs of harm from the U.S.-China trade war that has rumbled on over the last year.

BASE METAL - Base metals may trade with positive path. Metals and mining company Nyrstar said on Tuesday that it was extending force majeure at its Port Pirie lead and zinc smelter in Australia until the last week of July, from the second week of this month as previously planned. Shanghai lead hit a two-month high at 16,450 yuan a tonne, while London lead hovered around a one-week high, trading up 0.4% at 0203 GMT. Nickel may test 920 while taking support near 900. London nickel rose as much as 2.1% to $12,970 a tonne, its highest since April 17, while Shanghai nickel jumped to 103,160 yuan ($14,985.69) a tonne, a three-month high.

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BULLION - Bullion counter may trade on weaker path as gold prices fell on Tuesday as the dollar held near multi-week highs after investors reduced bets on an aggressive U.S. interest rate cut this month. The dollar index was hovering near a three-week high on Tuesday after investors rolled back expectations for a sharp U.S. rate cut at the end of July. Money market futures are still fully pricing in a 25 basis point cut at the Federal Reserves next policy meeting on July 30-31, but have almost priced out a larger 50 basis point reduction. Fed chief Jerome Powells comments in two-day testimony to Congress beginning on Wednesday will be closely watched to determine whether traders will continue to pare bets for deep interest rate cuts. SPDR Gold Trust, the worlds largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, said its holdings fell 0.15% to 795.80 tonnes on Monday from 796.97 tonnes on Friday.

ENERGY- Crude oil may trade on subdued path as oil fell on Tuesday amid worries over the outlook for demand after the latest signs that international trade disputes have been dragging on the global economy, although tensions in the Middle East offered some support to prices. Oil fell on Tuesday amid worries over the outlook for demand after the latest signs that international trade disputes have been dragging on the global economy, although tensions in the Middle East offered some support to prices. Oil prices are being pressured by ongoing worries about demand as the U.S.-China trade war, heading into its second year, dampens prospects for global economic growth. Japans core machinery orders fell by the most in eight months, data showed on Monday, in a sign the global trade tensions are taking a toll on corporate investment. U.S. natural gas futures eased on Monday from a five-week high in the previous session with production near record highs and forecasts for lower demand over the next two weeks than previously expected.

BASE METAL - Base metals may trade with sideways path.. Copper prices on the London Metal Exchange fell on Tuesday, on track for a third straight decline, amid a lack of news on steps to settle a prolonged trade dispute between the United States and China. Representatives from the two countries were expected to resume talks this week, but nothing has been released about whether the talks happened or whether progress has been made in resolving the year-long dispute that has hurt demand for metals. China will investigate state-owned metals conglomerate China Minmetals Corp Ltd and chemical producer China National Chemical Corp Ltd in a new round of central government environmental audits, the environment ministry said. 

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BULLION - Bullion counter may trade on sideways path. Gold prices eased on Monday, following a sharp fall in the previous session, as a strong U.S. jobs report tempered expectations of an aggressive interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve later this month. Nonfarm payrolls increased by 224,000 jobs last month, the most in five months, the U.S. Labor Department reported on Friday. Expectations for a Fed rate cut narrowed with the market now pricing a 27 basis points easing this month, from 33 basis points prior to payrolls. Domestic gold prices in India jumped to a record on Friday following an unexpected increase in import duty in the country's budget, hitting demand and forcing dealers to offer the highest discount in nearly three years. China's gold reserves rose to $87.27 billion at the end of June from $79.83 billion at the end of May.

ENERGY- Crude oil may trade on stronger path as crude prices rose on Monday, adding to gains in the previous session on better than-expected U.S. jobs data, although gains were tempered by worries over the prolonged Sino-U.S. trade war. Both oil benchmarks fell last week as concerns about a slowing global economy outweighed risks to supply. Brent fell more than 3% and WTI shed more than 1.5%.U.S. job growth rebounded strongly in June, with government payrolls surging, the Labor Departments closely watched employment report showed on Friday, suggesting Mays sharp slowdown in hiring was probably a one-off. Employers added 224,000 jobs last month, the most in five months, the report showed. The lack of concrete progress in resolving the acrimonious trade war between the United States and China, however, means the bar could be very high for the U.S. Federal Reserve not to lower borrowing costs at its July 30-31 policy meeting. Oil received some support from simmering tensions over Iran and after an extension last week to output cuts by OPEC and its allies. U.S. natural gas futures jumped to an over one-month high on Friday as weather forecasts turned hotter, overshadowing a surge in gas production.

BASE METAL - Base metals may trade with sideways to upside path. Copper prices dropped on Monday on inventory pile-up amid a steady dollar after strong U.S. jobs data led to tempered expectations of an aggressive rate cut by the Federal Reserve. Copper inventories in warehouses approved by the London Metal Exchange (LME) touched a near 13-month high at 302,975 tonnes on Thursday, data released last week showed. The differences between cash zinc and three-month contract flipped to a discount of $3 a tonne on Friday after holding in premiums zone in nearly five months, suggesting greater availability of nearby supply. ShFE zinc hit a six-month low of 19,265 yuan a tonne, tracking falls on the LME in the previous session on rising supply concerns. LME zinc, however, rebounded 0.3% after hitting its lowest since Jan. 3 on Friday.

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BULLION - Bullion counter may trade on sideways path. Gold prices were steady on Thursday after hitting a one-week high in the previous session, as gains in stock markets offset support from a weaker dollar and prospects of an interest rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve. European Union leaders nominated IMF chief Christine Lagarde as Mario Draghis replacement at the helm of the European Central Bank after marathon talks that have exposed deep divisions in the bloc. German 10-year Bund yields were at record lows and the U.S. benchmark yields are also falling on government monetary policy, giving the equity markets a boost and taking away investor interest from gold. U.S. Treasury yields fell on Wednesday with yields on U.S. benchmark 10-year Treasury notes hitting their lowest in over 2-1/2 years as euro zone yields tumbled on record lows on bets the European Central Banks next chief would stay a dovish course to help the euro zone economy.

ENERGY- Crude oil may trade on weaker path as oil prices inched lower on Thursday after solid gains the day before, pressured by data showing a smaller-than-expected decline in U.S. crude stockpiles. U.S. crude inventories dropped by 1.1 million barrels last week, the Energy Information Administration (EIA) said on Wednesday. That compared with analyst expectations for a decrease of 3 million barrels. But crude prices were underpinned after the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and other producers such as Russia, a group known as OPEC+, agreed on Tuesday to extend oil supply cuts until March 2020. U.S. natural gas futures rose over 2% on Wednesday on forecasts for higher demand this week and record liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports over the next two weeks.

BASE METAL - Base metals may trade with sideways bias. Base metals on the London Metal Exchange (LME) rose on Thursday following news that the United States and China are set to hold trade talks next week. Top U.S. and Chinese representatives are arranging to talk again next week, U.S. administration officials said on Wednesday, in a move to try to resolve a year-long trade war that has been weighing on global growth and metals demand. Base metals' complex were also supported by hopes that the U.S. Federal Reserve would cut interest rates this month after data from multiple sectors pointed to a slowing economic growth in the U.S. The U.S. trade deficit jumped in May and trade tensions between the United States and China helped drive activity in the services sector to a two-year low in June, further signs that economic growth slowed sharply in the second quarter. 

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Investment  trading in securities market is always subjected to market risks, past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. CapitalStars Investment Adviser: SEBI Registration Number: INA000001647

For more details call on 9977499927 or visit our website www.capitalstars.com