BULLION - Bullion counter may trade with positive bias. Gold prices firmed on Monday as concerns about a potential U.S. recession and decelerating global growth weighed on stock markets, which increased appetite for safer assets. Investors dumped shares on Monday and fled to the safety of bonds, while the Japanese yen hovered near a six-week high as risk assets fell out of favour on growing worries about an impending U.S. recession, sending global yields plunging. U.S. markets received a clear warning of coming recession on Friday when the spread between yields on three-month Treasury bills and 10-year notes fell below zero for the first time since 2007 after U.S. manufacturing data missed estimates. U.S. manufacturing activity unexpectedly cooled in March, a troubling sign for the economy although the housing market showed signs lower interest rates were giving it a boost.
ENERGY- Crude oil may trade on negative note as oil prices kicked off the week trading with losses as concerns of a sharp economic slowdown outweighed supply disruptions from OPEC production cutbacks and U.S. sanctions on Iran and Venezuela. The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and non-affiliated allies such as Russia, together referred to as OPEC, have pledged to withhold around 1.2 million barrels per day (bpd) of oil supply this year to prop up markets, with OPEC de-facto leader seen to be pushing for a crude prices of over $70 per barrel. The darkening economic outlook overshadowed the supply-side issues the oil market was facing amid supply cuts led by producer club OPEC as well as the U.S. sanctions on Venezuela and Iran.
BASE METAL - Base metals prices may trade sideways path. Most base metals moved lower in early Asian trade on Monday, as investors worried about the prospect of a recession in the United States, the world's biggest economy. Copper stockpiles in ShFE warehouses fell slightly to 259,172 tonnes last week after a rapid build during a seasonal lull in demand. Chile's Antofagasta expects to reach an agreement with miner BHP to help ensure water supply at its Zalidvar copper mine in the country's northern desert, a company official told a Chilean newspaper on Friday. China Hongqiao Group said on Friday that a doubling of alumina sales helped offset lower aluminium production and prices, leaving its net profit steady in the second half of 2018. China reverted to being a net importer of alumina in February for the first month since April 2018, while its scrap metal imports plunged to just 160,000 tonnes, the lowest in customs website records going back to June 2014. Scrap copper imports stood at 60,000 tonnes.
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