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Tuesday, 29 January 2019

MORNING MCX UPDATE 29/Jan/2019

mcx update

BULLION â�� Bullion counter may trade with positive bias as it edged up to a seven-month high on Tuesday, as the dollar weakened ahead of a two-day U.S. Federal Reserve meeting, which will likely keep interest rates steady, and on worries over a rise in Sino-U.S. trade tensions. Gold (Apr) can test 32800 taking support near 32250. Silver can test 40200 taking support near 39600. Investors are focusing on the Fedâ��s two-day policy meeting, starting later in the day, when the U.S. central bank is expected to leave interest rates unchanged. Some U.S. central bank officials have said they will be patient in raising rates given the stalemate over global trade, the U.S. federal government shutdown, and waning business and consumer confidence. Chinaâ��s net gold imports via main conduit Hong Kong in December halved from the previous month, data showed on Monday, as the worldâ��s top gold consumer likely limited import quotas for its banks while demand for jewellery waned towards end-2018. 

ENERGY- Crude Oil- Crude oil may trade in green as oil prices oil prices crept higher on Tuesday after the U.S. government slapped sanctions on Venezuela�s state-owned oil firm PdVSA in a move aimed at severely curbing the OPEC member�s crude exports to the United States.. Despite their political differences, the United States remains a major destination for Venezuelan oil, although volumes have steadily declined over the past years amid Venezuela�s economic crisis and as the U.S. government has started targeting Caracas� financial sector with sanctions. The U.S. government is supporting Venezuelan opposition leader Juan Guaido, who proclaimed himself interim president last week and is demanding the resignation of sitting President Nicolas Maduro. Crude oil can test 3750 levels while taking support near 3640. Venezuela has the world�s biggest proven oil reserves and is a member of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC).

Natural Gas- Natural gas may tumble further lower as it can move in range of 200- 215. Weeks of extreme volatility persisted as U.S. natural gas futures plunged over 8 percent to a four-month low on Monday on forecasts for warmer-than-normal weather next week despite predictions for arctic cold and record demand later this week.

BASE METAL - Base metals prices may trade with sideways path. Copper may trade on weaker path as it can test 416 while facing resistance near 428 in MCX. Zinc can move sideways to negative path as it can test 188. Lead can witness profit booking at higher levels as it can test 145. Nickel can move sideways in range of 825-845. Aluminum prices can move further lower and can test 130. London aluminum prices inched up early on Tuesday following a plunge in the previous session, with investors' focus returning to inventories and the upcoming U.S. Federal Reserve meeting. Aluminium users around the world will pay less for their material after the United States lifted sanctions on major producer Rusal, but U.S. tariffs on imports of the metal mean limited gains for the country's consumers. Inventories of aluminum stand at 1.3 million tonnes in warehouses approved by the LME, near their lowest since May 2018. The LME said on Monday it would start accepting all Rusal metal into its warehouses again.




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