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Thursday, 4 October 2018

MCX MORNING UPDATE 04TH OCT 2018


BULLION:-

Gold eased on Wednesday after the Italian government indicated it was open to trimming its budget deficit and debt, soothing investors' nerves and prompting a wider move back into stocks and other higher-risk assets. Bullion was also pressured by a stronger dollar as economic data supported the view that the U.S. economy is strong. "With U.S. equities hitting record highs here, the stickiness in equity prices will continue and the dollar strength will continue to materialize with what the U.S. Federal Reserve is doing," said David Song, a currency analyst at DailyFX. A stronger greenback makes dollar-denominated gold more expensive for holders of other currencies, while rising interest rates increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion.

METALS:-

Declining shorts pulled up the SHFE 1811 contract above the 20- and 10- day moving averages, to a high of 104,580 yuan/mt. The contract settled at 104,550 yuan/mt with capitals of some 213 million yuan flowing out of all SHFE nickel contracts. Open interests of the 1811 contract lost 20,000 lots to 184,000 lots. Data to watch tonight include the US August personal consumption expenditures (PCE) inflation, personal income and spending and September consumer confidence. The SHFE 1811 contract once fell below the 50,000 yuan/mt level with pressure at the five-day moving average. As shorts exited near closing, the contract inched up to an intraday high of 50,240 yuan/mt and settled at 50,170 yuan/mt. The October contract traded some 230 yuan/mt higher than the November one today. The SHFE will be closed tonight and reopen on Monday October 8 after the week-long National Day holiday. 

ENERGY:-

Oil prices on Thursday fell from four-year highs reached the previous session, pressured by rising U.S. inventories and after sources said Russia and Saudi Arabia struck a private deal in September to raise crude output. "Data for last week showed a much more significant than expected ... build in U.S. commercial crude (inventories), which generally suggests that oil prices should tumble," said Stephen Innes, head of trading for Asia-Pacific at futures brokerage Oanda in Singapore. U.S. weekly Midwest refinery utilization rates dropped to 78.9 percent, their lowest since October 2015, according to the data. U.S. crude oil production C-OUT-T-EIA remained at a record-high of 11.1 million barrels per day (bpd). Russia and Saudi Arabia struck a private deal in September to raise oil output to cool rising prices, Reuters reported on Wednesday, before consulting with other producers, including the rest of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC). and Saudi Arabia's actions come as markets have heated up ahead of U.S. sanctions against Iran's oil sector, which are set to kick in from Nov. 4, and which many analysts expect to knock around 1.5 million bpd of supply out of markets.




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