Nothing bullish happening for Gold Right Now.
In other words, when it comes to a segment as volatile and sentiment-dependent as the precious metals, we are in the kill zone. That can be read a couple of different ways. First, the inflationist gold bugs are getting exterminated as the US dollar first rose and since have stubbornly refused to take a pullback. But the time to buy the gold sector is pretty reliably when the bugs are dead or at least hiding deep in the woodwork; so deep that you’d not even know they are still there. Just as you should have caution when gold bugs are trumpeting loudly, you should be brave when they are in full retreat… or worse, dead. So the ‘Kill Zone’ can also be viewed as an opportunity, like when a target is “in the kill zone”; and from the perspective of the following charts and graphics, the sector is in that zone now.
Copper failed to climb above the $6,200/mt level and fell to near $6,150/mt on Friday in LME.
LME copper failed to climb above the $6,200/mt level and fell to near $6,150/mt on Friday while the SHFE 1810 contract hovered at 49,600-49,850 yuan/mt. Open interest for SHFE copper rebounded above 600,000 lots. We expect LME copper to trade at $6,120-6,170/mt today with the SHFE 1810 contract at 49,350-49,800 yuan/mt. Spot premiums are seen at 20-60 yuan/mt.
As the dollar strengthened nickel fell down.
As the dollar strengthened, LME nickel on Friday tumbled past the 20-day moving average to $13,625/mt before it recovered some losses and closed at $13,805/mt. The SHFE 1811 contract on Friday night opened lower, hovered at just above its daily moving average and closed at 113,210 yuan/mt. We expect LME nickel to hover around $13,800/mt today and the SHFE 1811 contract to trade at 112,500-113,500 yuan/mt. Spot prices are seen at 111,800-114,000 yuan/mt.
Oil dips as trade tensions drag; Iran sanctions provide some support.
Oil prices dipped on Tuesday as rising trade tensions dented the outlook for fuel demand growth especially in Asia, although U.S. sanctions against Iran still pointed towards tighter supply. Signs of slowing economic growth and lower fuel demand increases, especially in Asia's large emerging markets are weighing on the oil markets. growth from Asia in general is being called into question. This due to the negative impact of trade wars, a stronger dollar and rising funding costs," Ole Hansen, head of the commodity strategy at Denmark's Saxo Bank, said in a note late last week. the gloomy outlook for trade and the potential slowdown in economic growth, oil markets are expected to remain relatively tight, particularly as U.S. sanctions on Iran have started. U.S. energy companies last week added the most oil rigs since May, adding 10 rigs to bring the total count to 869, according to the Baker Hughes energy services firm.
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