Gold hits more than 18-month low as dollar gains on Turkey troubles.
Gold fell to a more than 18-month low on Wednesday as the dollar climbed towards its highest in over a year on concerns about global market contagion triggered by recent declines in the Turkish lira. Further gold liquidation from emerging markets to strengthen local currencies also pressured bullion, several traders said. The advancing dollar and worries of continued oversupply also pushed platinum and palladium to their lowest since October 2008 and July 2017 respectively. Bullion has declined about 9 percent this year, pressured by rising U.S. interest rates, a soaring dollar and failure to capitalize on its traditional role as a hedge against global uncertainties. investors have opted for U.S. Treasuries, seen as the ultimate safe haven, which meant they had to buy dollars, while bearish sentiment on gold led to liquidations in exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and a record level of short positions.
Copper Tumbles into a Bear Market.
Copper plunged into a bear market as concerns mount that Turkey’s financial crisis and the U.S.-China trade spat will stymie global economic growth. The red metal for delivery in three months fell 4 percent to settle at $5,801 a metric ton at 5:52 p.m. Wednesday on the London Metal Exchange. That’s a more-than 20 percent drop from its high of $7,332 a ton in June, meeting the common definition of a bear market. Copper has posted four straight daily losses, dropping to the lowest in more than a year. Losses on Wednesday were triggered by a broad retreat in China as the Yuan weakened and recent data showed the economy hit a rough patch. We expect nickel prices to continue their weak and range bound pattern today. LME nickel slumped over 4%, breaking through $13,000/mt to a low of $12,770/mt, and closed at $12,880 yuan/mt on Wednesday. The SHFE 1811 contract fell past 108,000 yuan/mt to a low of 107,110 yuan/mt before it slightly rebounded and closed at 107,910 yuan/mt overnight.
We expect nickel prices to continue their weak and range bound pattern today.
LME nickel slumped over 4%, breaking through $13,000/mt to a low of $12,770/mt, and closed at $12,880 yuan/mt on Wednesday. The SHFE 1811 contract fell past 108,000 yuan/mt to a low of 107,110 yuan/mt before it slightly rebounded and closed at 107,910 yuan/mt overnight. We expect nickel prices to continue their weak and range bound pattern today. LME nickel is likely to hover around $12,800/mt and the SHFE 1811 contract at 106,500-108,000 yuan/mt. Spot prices are seen at 107,000-109,000 yuan/mt.
Oil edges up as China, U.S. set for trade talks
Oil prices on Thursday recouped some of the previous day's losses after Beijing said it would send a delegation to Washington to try to resolve trade disputes between the United States and China that have roiled global markets. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures CLc1 were weaker, trading down 8 cents at $64.93 a barrel amid rising U.S. crude production and storage levels. Both benchmarks lost more than 2 percent the previous day. said Thursday's markets were pushed up by news that a Chinese delegation led by Vice Minister of Commerce Wang Shouwen will hold talks with U.S. representatives led by Under Secretary of Treasury for International Affairs David Malpass later in August. and the United States have implemented several rounds of tit-for-tat tariffs on each others goods since the start of the year and have threatened further tariffs on exports worth hundreds of billions of dollars.
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